BTC PivotFind: Tops & Bottoms

Key Features

50+ Charts Condensed into 1

CYCLE BOTTOMS

PivotFind analyzes over 30 indicators, spanning macroeconomic, technical, on-chain, and sentiment data across multiple timeframes, to pinpoint conditions that have historically signaled shifts from bear to bull markets.

Since market bottoms often present prime opportunities for institutional investors and smart money to capitalize on undervalued assets, this approach may be equally valuable for retail investors like you.

PivotFind plots green dots (●) beneath the price chart whenever it detects specific historical conditions—such as technical, macroeconomic, sentiment, and on-chain confluences—often linked to market cycle lows.

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CYCLE TOPS

Our algorithm evaluates over 30 indicators, incorporating macroeconomic, technical, on-chain, and sentiment data across multiple timeframes. This data can reveal conditions that have historically signaled bull to bear market reversals.
 
Market tops are often when institutional investors and smart money shift capital toward risk-off assets (like Treasury Bills), a strategy that could be worth considering for your own portfolio as well.

PivotFind marks red dots (●) above the price chart when it identifies specific historical conditions—such as TA, macroeconomic factors, sentiment, and on-chain confluences—commonly associated with market cycle tops.

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BULL OR BEAR MARKET?

A frequent question among traders and investors is whether we’re in a bull or bear market.

PivotFind considers over 30 indicators to analyze the market’s condition at any given moment, providing insights to help answer this crucial question.

PivotFind identifies and represents 3 different possible market states: bull, bear, or reversal zone.

PivotFind displays its market state evaluation (bull, bear, reversal) using the background and price line colors. Further details on the market state assessment are provided in the Market Data Table on the right side.

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LOCAL TOPS

PivotFind not only aims to identify the 4-year cycle pivot points (referred to as “cycle tops”), but can also detect short-term reversal areas during strong trends (known as “local tops”).

Users can enable this additional functionality through PivotFind’s settings menu.

 

PivotFind displays local tops & bottoms with smaller red dots shown on the chart above the price line.

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PRICE SCENARIO

PivotFind incorporates a price scenario model for future halving cycles, drawing on historical price trends that exhibit diminishing returns with a consistent factor. This model identifies three key price points:

  1. FOMO Price: The level anticipated to attract retail traders and investors, potentially accelerating price growth.
  2. Overextended Price: A price threshold that might lead to the formation of a blow-off top.
  3. Expected Top: The projected peak price for the cycle.

 

By calculating these three price levels, the algorithm aims to provide investors with a framework for setting realistic price expectations in upcoming market cycles (5.2). This approach takes into account the historical pattern of diminishing returns observed in previous cycles.

PivotFind predicts three key price points for each halving cycle, based on historical diminishing returns and the consistent decrease factor observed between halvings. These price levels are plotted on the chart.

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PARABOLIC GROWTH

BTC price cycles have historically exhibited parabolic growth before reaching their peaks. These surges are often fueled by increased interest from retail Investors, with Bitcoin’s rapid ascent often boosting the broader cryptocurrency market.

PivotFind analyzes various indicators and confluences to detect conditions that have historically preceded these parabolic phases, helping traders assess their best options.

The PivotFind indicator displays white arrows (↑) on the chart to signal potential periods of exponential growth in Bitcoin’s price. The stronger the signal, the bigger the plotted arrows.

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ALTSEASON

Historical market data shows periods, during the broader crypto cycle, where Altcoins outperform BTC’s price growth (“Altseason”).

PivotFinder analyzes various data points to detect situations that have historically preceded such periods, to help traders assess the risk/reward profile of their crypto portfolio and decide upon potential re-balancing options.

PivotFind displays with white diamond plots (◆) when the Altcoin market may outperform the BTC market (price growth rate/time).

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MARKET TRACKING

PivotFind enhances its chart plots with two additional data tables:

  1. Side panel: This table presents cycle metrics, strength indicators for tops and bottoms, and chosen macroeconomic data. It also includes an assessment of how these factors might influence BTC’s price.
  2. Lower central panel: This table offers a snapshot of current values for select technical, sentiment, and on-chain indicators, allowing for quick reference.

 

These supplementary tables are designed to provide users with extra context for their analysis and offer a convenient overview of pertinent information on a single chart.

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ALERTS

PivotFinder offers automatic built-in notifications for various market conditions it detects (like bottom/top/altseason/market state shift warnings).

Users can also create custom alerts using TradingView’s standard interface, with some PivotFinder-specific presets available.

These notification options may help users stay informed about market developments that align with their analysis criteria.

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Important Disclaimer
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The warnings generated by the PivotFind algorhtym are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and all trading and investment decisions carry risk. Users should conduct their own research and consider their personal financial situation and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

Your Benefits

Early Adopters Promotion Until 30/09/24

Frequent Questions

PivotFind is a custom indicator script written in PineScript Version 5 for use on the TradingView® platform. It’s designed to analyze Bitcoin market cycles by examining multiple data points derived from technical analysis, macroeconomic factors, blockchain metrics, and market sentiment indicators. 

The indicator attempts to identify potential cycle tops and bottoms by looking for confluences among these various data points. It also provides an assessment of the current market phase and highlights other potentially significant market events or conditions.

Key features of PivotFind include:

  • Analysis of 30+ diverse data points
  • Market phase assessment (bullish/bearish)
  • Signals for possible parabolic price growth phases
  • Indications of potential altcoin market outperformance
  • Price projections related to upcoming Bitcoin halving events

The indicator displays its findings on a single chart, aiming to offer users a comprehensive view of the Bitcoin market. This visual representation is intended to assist users in analyzing market conditions and making informed decisions about their trading or investment strategies.

PivotFind is designed to provide a structured approach to analyzing the Bitcoin and broader cryptocurrency markets from a medium to long-term perspective. Users are encouraged to use this tool as part of a broader analysis process and to conduct their own research before making any trading or investment decisions.

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results, and all trading and investing in cryptocurrencies involves risk. Users should carefully consider their financial situation and risk tolerance before using this or any other trading tool.

While it’s true that PivotFind utilizes some common technical analysis indicators, macro data, sentiment indicators, and on-chain metrics, its value lies in its comprehensive approach and time-saving capabilities:

  1. Extensive Data Integration:
    • PivotFind incorporates over 30 different metrics across multiple timeframes (from 1D to 60 Days).
    • To replicate this manually, you’d need to look at and analyze 50+ individual charts.
  2. Complex Analysis Automation:
    • The indicator performs intricate analysis on these numerous data points, and filters out the data from each single signal according to a complex logic (which considers factors as: time of occurrence, signal quality/quantity, and other factors)
    • It identifies confluences and patterns that would be extremely time-consuming and challenging for an individual to consistently recognize.
  3. Time Efficiency:
    • Manually analyzing each of these 50+ charts and drawing conclusions would be incredibly time-consuming and nearly impossible to do consistently.
    • PivotFind does this work for you in real-time, saving hours of analysis.
  4. Consolidated Visualization:
    • All this complex data and analysis is presented in a single, consistent chart.
    • The results are visualized clearly, making it easy to interpret the market conditions at a glance.
  5. Alerting System:
    • PivotFind generates alerts based on its analysis, notifying you of significant market events or potential trading opportunities.
  6. Additional Data Table:
    • The indicator provides a data table with even more detailed information, further multiplying the amount of analysis being done for you.

 

In essence, while PivotFind uses common metrics as its building blocks, in addition to custom analysis that are not available elsewhere, its real value comes from:

  • Aggregating multiple metrics across various timeframes
  • Performing complex analysis to find confluences
  • Presenting all this information in a clear, single chart
  • Providing real-time alerts based on this comprehensive analysis

 

By paying for PivotFind, you’re not just getting access to common indicators – you’re investing in a sophisticated analytical tool that saves you significant time and effort, allowing you to focus on making informed trading decisions rather than getting lost in endless chart analysis.

PivotFind is a market analysis tool that focuses exclusively on Bitcoin’s (BTC) market cycle between halving events. While PivotFind concentrates solely on BTC, it’s important to note that most cryptocurrencies tend to follow Bitcoin’s market cycle in terms of trend direction. This means:

  1. During Bitcoin’s uptrends, the broader cryptocurrency market generally follows suit in the mid-term. While most cryptocurrencies move upward with Bitcoin, altcoins often experience more significant price increases.

  2. Similarly, when Bitcoin enters a downtrend, the overall crypto market tends to decline in the mid-term. However, altcoins typically suffer steeper losses compared to Bitcoin during these downturns.


The proof?

Try to compare INDEX:BTCUSD and INDEX:ETHUSD on the same 1D (daily) chart: you will notice that the two charts basically overlap. The same is true when you compare charts like CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH (capitalization of BTC and ETH), or CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL (the total crypto market capitalization) and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 (the crypto market capitalization excluding BTC and ETH).

As a result, by understanding and tracking Bitcoin’s cycle through PivotFind, users gain valuable insights into the broader cryptocurrency market trends. This allows investors and traders to make more informed decisions not just about Bitcoin, but about the overall crypto market landscape (down to individual coins or tokens of interest).

Of course, in the shorter term the correlation between BTC and individual cryptocurrencies may be weakened by specific events.

While past market behavior doesn’t guarantee future outcomes, PivotFind’s approach is designed to enhance predictive reliability. Here’s how:

  1. Beyond Single Indicator Reliance Individual technical indicators, regardless of their historical performance, may not consistently predict future market movements. PivotFind acknowledges this limitation of single-metric analysis.
  2. Diverse Indicator Ecosystem PivotFind utilizes a wide range of technical indicators and market metrics. This diversification strategy recognizes that while some indicators may lose effectiveness, others may maintain their predictive value.
  3. Confluence-Driven Analysis By examining the convergence of multiple indicators, PivotFind aims to increase predictive accuracy. When several indicators align, it suggests a higher probability of a significant market signal.
  4. Minimizing False Signals The multi-indicator approach helps reduce the risk of false positives that often arise from relying on isolated data points.
  5. Comprehensive Market Perspective This multifaceted methodology offers a more complete view of market conditions, encompassing various aspects such as price action, trading volume, and overall market sentiment.

 

In summary, PivotFind’s core principle is that collective, and multifaceted, insights from diverse indicators provide superior predictive power compared to any individual metric. This approach strives to deliver a more robust and dependable analysis of market trends and potential pivot points.

Disclaimer: PivotFind is designed as an analytical tool to assist in market analysis. However, all trading and investment decisions should be based on your own research, experience, and risk tolerance. Past performance and indicator signals do not guarantee future results. Always practice responsible risk management in your trading activities.

PivotFind visualizes key market indicators on the chart to help traders identify Bitcoin’s current market phase:

  1. Price Line and Chart Background:
    • Green: Bullish phase
    • Red: Bearish phase
    • Orange: Transitional/reversal periods (bull to bear or bear to bull)

  2. Fibonacci Retracement Bands: Colored lines representing key support and resistance levels. These bands illustrate price action around critical levels and demonstrate the declining slope across subsequent halving cycles, reflecting Bitcoin’s diminishing returns.

  3. Cycle Top Indicators (●): Red dots above the price line signify when multiple technical indicators reach critical levels, based on historical data and research. These incorporate over 30 data points and complex conditions.

  4. Cycle Bottom Indicators (●): Similar to top indicators, but signaling potential market bottoms.

  5. Altseason Alerts (◆): White diamonds appear when conditions suggest a potential altcoin season, based on factors like TOTAL3 market growth (excluding stablecoins) and declining Bitcoin dominance.

  6. Parabolic Phase Signals (⬆): White arrows of varying sizes indicate the potential onset of a parabolic price movement, based on historical patterns observed across multiple halving cycles.

  7. Cycle Extrema Labels: “Cycle Top” or “Cycle Bottom” labels are displayed when a strong confluence of indicators suggests a major market turning point.

  8. Condition Labels: Blue labels describe the specific technical conditions triggering each indicator, providing transparency in the analysis process.

  9. Halving Date Markers: Vertical lines marking Bitcoin halving events, crucial for cycle analysis.


This toolset combines multiple technical analysis methods, financial & macro data points, sentiment indicators,  trend analysis, Fibonacci retracements, on-chain analytics and multi-factor indicator confluence, to provide a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s market cycles. Traders can use these visual cues to inform their decision-making process, while understanding the underlying conditions driving each signal.

The basic idea is that while relying on repeating patterns related to a single indicator may fail, the likelihood of such failure considering a large number of indicators is lower.

PivotFind is designed with simplicity in mind, making it accessible for users of various experience levels. Here’s why it might be suitable for beginners:

  • The indicator displays minimal visual elements on the chart, aiming for clarity. For example, it uses color-coded dots to represent potential cycle signals.
  • There’s no complex setup required – the indicator is designed to work right away without needing configuration.
  • Users can set up automated alerts based on the indicator’s signals, which may help in staying informed about certain market conditions.

The goal of PivotFind is to present complex market analysis in a straightforward manner. However, it’s important to note that while the interface aims to be user-friendly, understanding market cycles and making trading decisions requires knowledge and experience.

Remember, no indicator can predict market movements with certainty. As a beginner, it’s crucial to:

  1. Educate yourself about cryptocurrency markets and trading basics.
  2. Use this tool as part of a broader learning and analysis process, not as a sole decision-making factor.
  3. Start with paper trading or small amounts to gain experience.
  4. Always be aware of the risks involved in cryptocurrency trading.

We encourage all users, regardless of experience level, to thoroughly research and understand any tool they use for market analysis. If you’re new to trading, consider seeking education from reputable sources and potentially consulting with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

 

To use PivotFind, you’ll need a Free TradingView account. If you don’t have one, you can sign up on the TradingView website.

Once you have an account, here’s a general guide on how to access and use PivotFind:

  1. On TradingView, select the “INDEX:BTCUSD” chart (which shows the BTC history from 2012 till today)
  2. Set the chart timeframe to 1D (daily), the timeframe we recommend to best visualize our signals
  3. Click on “Indicators” in the top toolbar
  4. Search for “BTC PivotFind” (you will see it, with a red locker icon)
  5. As PivotFind is a premium indicator, you need to purchase access (following the indications provided on the Tradingview platform itself, or directly from our website). You can choose between the 1 month or 12 months plans.
  6. Once you have access, you can add the indicator to your chart (we grant you access within 30 minutes after receiving your subscription)

Tips for using PivotFind:

  • Consider using “dark mode” in TradingView’s settings
  • Apply a “logarithmic scale” to the chart (the option to do so is located at the bottom right of the chart, choose “L”)
  • Adjust displayed elements via PivotFind’s user settings (click on the settings icon on the BTC PivotFind indicator at the top left of the chart)
  • Set up custom alerts based on PivotFind’s signals

Remember to familiarize yourself with PivotFind’s methodology before relying on it for analysis. While it aims to provide valuable insights, it is always wise to use multiple sources of information for investment decisions. If you’re new to investing and trading, consider paper trading first to gain experience without financial risk.

For more detailed information about PivotFind, including its specific features and how to interpret its signals, please refer to the indicator’s description on TradingView or the developer’s website. We have an online chat to support you before and after your subscription.